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So it makes sense to me to treat the situation in a senior/ assisted living/ memory care facility with much more caution.
From Johns Hopkins School of Medicine:
Influenza (“the flu”) and COVID-19, the illness caused by the new coronavirus, are both infectious respiratory illnesses. Although the symptoms of COVID-19 and the flu can look similar, the two illnesses are caused by different viruses.
As of Mar. 2, 2020, the **flu** is showing *much more* of an impact on Americans than COVID-19.
Both the flu and COVID-19 cause fever, cough, body aches, fatigue; sometimes vomiting and diarrhea.
Both can be mild or severe, even fatal in rare cases.
Both can result in pneumonia.
Both can be spread from person to person through droplets in the air from an infected person coughing, sneezing or talking.
Severe cases of both may require hospitalization and support such as mechanical ventilation.
***Both may be prevented by frequent, thorough hand washing, coughing into the crook of your elbow, staying home when sick and limiting contact with people who are infected.***
COVID-19: Antiviral medications are currently being tested to see if they can address symptoms.
Flu: Antiviral medications can address symptoms and sometimes shorten the duration of the illness.
COVID-19: No vaccine is available at this time, though it is in progress.
Flu: A vaccine is available and effective to prevent some of the most dangerous types or to reduce the severity of the flu.
COVID-19: Approximately 90,279 cases worldwide; 100 cases in the U.S. as of Mar. 2, 2020.
Flu: Estimated 1 *billion* cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 *million* cases in the U.S. *per year*.
COVID-19: Approximately 3,085 deaths reported worldwide; 6 deaths in the U.S., as of Mar. 2, 2020.
Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.
People seem so afraid of the coronavirus, but gloss over the fact that every year, there are so very many flu illnesses and deaths.
"As of mid-January, in the US, there have been at least 9.7 million cases of the flu, at least 87,000 flu-related hospitalization, and up to 12,000 deaths, according to the CDC. Forty-six states plus Puerto Rico are currently experiencing widespread flu activity, though the type of strain and incidence vary from region to region."
Oh and now there are 2 confirmed cases here in Florida, both counties by mine. And Snowbird season, so a bit more worrisome.
If the corona virus does get introduced into a facility, then clients will most likely take meals in their rooms, not have "group" activities, and be monitored more closely for coughs, breathing problems and fever. The problem is when a client develops pneumonia - which is makes breathing difficult - and is harder on an aging population with underlying respiratory or cardiac problems. So far, the disease only has a mortality rate of 1% for the general population and 15% for the older population.
www.gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com
its the John Hopkins site. Gets updated every morning.
they run the # on overall, recovered, dead and active.
For Mainland China, its broken down by each province. I’ve been watching since 2/4 for Hubei, Beijing, Guandong, & Hainan. For the last 3 the #s are holding pretty tight last 5 days, which is good.
For the other countries it’s still overall #s & some do have their Diamond Princess # segregated. I bet it will expand by region or states or departments for all the countries soon as they reach a set amount.
The Coronavirus is airborne and also lives on surfaces for 9 days. Such as a door handle, called a fortnite.
They should be following good hygiene practice ALL year, not just when some media blip is scaring the bejeezus out of people. ALL YEAR.
I would be concerned that they have something like the flu going around there. Do they not recommend or rather require flu shots for residents and staff? If they all got theirs, even someone coming in with germs shouldn't be able to infect them (granted flu shots can be geared to the wrong strain, but they do say it lessens the impact.) If everyone in the facility is covered, then no one in the facility should get sick or at least not as sick.
I would also recommend the pneumonia shots for elders in facilities. Many less serious conditions can cause complications in elders, like pneumonia, which is often a killer for the elderly. I still have mom (96, into year 4 at MC) get her flu shots and pneumonia shots (2, 1 year apart.)
Personally I don't get either, have never ever had the flu and haven't been sick in MANY decades. Plenty of exposure (school myself, college, kids, working, including at a grocery and large BUSY warehouse, large companies, etc), just good immune system I guess? Maybe later, when I am older, but not now!
So smart! I would not have thought of that, unless I had observed it while there.
What is advised about our shoes?
I was looking for breakdowns on a cluster of statistics, and am still looking. But here are some factors in analyzing the severity of the virus:
1. Cases per million people.
https://nucleuswealth.com/articles/updated-coronavirus-statistics-cases-deaths-mortality-rate/
Note that the chart indicates where diagnoses were made, as opposed to where the source of infection may have been. The rates of Iran, Italy and South Korea are more intensive than any other country. Question is why? I don't know. If Italy or South Korea were one of the poorer or strife ridden countries, I could understand, in part b/c medical facilities wouldn't be as available as in the more developed countries.
2. In the last few or more weeks I recalled seeing a PBS program on the massive problem of trash disposal in Italy. Streets were filled with garbage; it was too repugnant to see, so I didn't watch the rest of the program. I wonder if that was a factor, b/c Italy isn't one of the underdeveloped countries with limited medical facilities.
I would like to see a breakdown down of the Vatican City vs. the rest of Italy, as the former has a more reclusive environment and from what I understand isn't as exposed as the rest of the country.
3. The second graph addresses rapidity of detection. The vertical line isn't identified, but I'm presuming it represents days. Italy, South Korea and Iran were apparently later in identifying cases than other countries. If so, there's one commonality.
4. I'm still searching for statistics such as those addressed by Geaton777, especially the co-morbidity factors between those who died and those who survived. I think that would be more telling than some of the reports that are being floated around.
5. I notice also that there are no statistics for Russia, which I assume is because they're not being reported or shared.
6. Something no one has addressed in the many reports available are the facts that there are so many variables in potential vectors: mail, for one. Even though mail is automated, it's still hand delivered at the end point. Food products are another, especially produce from other countries with different hygienic standards. I was surprised when I'd ask various restaurants if they washed raw vegetables and fruits with hot water and soap. They did not.
Agencies will be gathering data for months, including after the peaks and as the virus (hopefully eventually becomes medical addressed, or runs its course.
I'm especially interested in the role of the little critter that may have carried the virus and started the epidemic in the "fresh" meat markets of China.
Rinsing of vegetables and fruit is often recommended, but mainly due to pesticides and possibly various germs that thrive in growing locations, like E-coli and Listeria. Salmonella is generally a meat thing and if you cook it properly, it shouldn't be an issue if it is in/on the meat (washing hands after handling raw meats helps to prevent infection too!)
"...co-morbidity factors between those who died..." Many of the current 9 in WA state who died were from the same NH and had pre-existing conditions.
Perspective - ~3200 deaths reported worldwide vs ~93000 cases detected, most of both being people who live in China. ~200 deaths reported between 3 countries (Italy, Iran, S. Korea), leaving about 30 deaths among all the other countries reporting. Out of about 8 million people worldwide, that is not a lot. Significant to those who died and their families, but as Geaton777 says, a drop in the teapot really, at this point.
FYI from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Russia 3 total cases 1 active case 2 recovered cases
As for mail, per https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public/myth-busters
"From previous analysis, we know coronavirises do not survice long on objects, such as letters or packages." Since food items are also "objects", I wouldn't worry too much about them. If an infected person sneezed on it and handed it to you, perhaps you could get infected, but if I saw someone sneeze on a fresh food item, I wouldn't take it from them or touch it with a 10 foot pole!
I haven't seen stats yet on breakout of age or preexisting conditions, but it is fairly clear that those who are compromised (heart, lungs, diabetes, etc) and/or are elderly, they are more likely to develop other conditions if infected with this (same as with flu or a really bad cold - their immune system can't handle it.)
But I'm an organic gardener; I assume you're not?
I also don't generally buy "organic" stuff - outside my budget and many items really don't need to be (plus have you ever researched what constitutes organic? YIKES! What they allow would turn you off eating anything!) Additionally, if you read up on what amounts of various items are allowed to "slip" through the system, you'd also give up eating! My favorite is "fresh" orange juice... they don't just squeeze the juice into cartons and ship it... But, to make our current food safety requirements more palatable, read The Jungle by Upton Sinclair.
A flower that has not yet bloomed (a rose bud) can be forced bloomed by placing it in hot water. Lettuce that has wilted can be quickly revived in cold water, because the veins of the plant absorb it.
Lettuce can be contaminated, yes.
https://khn.org/news/as-coronavirus-cases-grow-so-does-scrutiny-of-nursing-home-infection-plans
Guidance for Infection Control and Prevention of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in nursing homes
https://www.cms.gov/files/document/qso-20-14-nhpdf.pdf
Many apple varieties have whitish stains which I suspect are from pesticides. I've found no way to remove them except by peeling apples.
The dangers from pesticides aren't something we can't observe; it requires testing.
You're not incorrect in that home grown food is the only way to guarantee organicity, unless you know the grower. Even so-called organic food sold in the stores can have some limited chemical applications.
The best way is to be your own grower. Victory Gardens were a good idea; I'd like to see them make a comeback.
I grow a few items, such as tomatoes, peppers, summer/zucchini, beans. My peppers this past year were not germinating well and by the time I got a few to put out, it was late. I actually dug them up and put them in the sun room, heated by pellet stove with my other "indoor" plants - the plan was to get them back out in the spring and they'd have a head start this year! I was "molested" the flowers that have appeared recently and have one little pepper growing! (I used the word molest as I tried this years ago with a tomato plant, brought indoor into the kitchen, which was south facing - my SIL at that time accused me of molesting the tomato plant!) I have some blueberry bushes here (transplanted before I sold the other place, so they don't produce much yet) and had wild raspberries at my previous home. I have tried other items, but so far haven't had a lot of luck here. The soil is pretty crappy - I have been composting, so hopefully the soil will improve!
Even if I were younger and could plant more and other food items, the growing season isn't year round and some items I use or want just wouldn't grow here. So, I would still have to buy items to supplement what I can grow myself.
Plus... I'm not about to raise cows, pigs and chickens to get my meat products... Even if I could raise farm animals, I could *never* kill them! Once I make eye contact and "bond" with them, that's it for me. I'd make a lousy farmer!
What would he have to gain by instituting a such a devastating plague? How would he and the state target the victims?
BUT....
current statistics for China show a population of almost 1.5 billion people with only under 3,000 deaths at this point. They are also to have said that the virus-affected is starting to slow down.